By now, you’ve probably heard the various news media (national & local) reporting on the July housing data as compared to last July. The number of homes sold in July 2010 is down versus what was sold in July 2009. Is anyone really surprised by this? We knew it would happen, because the Tax Credit incentives merely moved sales to the first half of the year as those homes had to close by June 30.
I’ve never been one to just accept the info that is published because I know that there are so many caveats to the data. So I decided to relook the sales in MY service area: the Olentangy and Dublin school districts.
JAN-JUN Sales Comparison 2010 vs 2009
- Olentangy: 478 homes sold with an average price of $328,996 in 2010. 397 homes sold in 2009 with an average price of $318,040. So for the first half of the year, the number of homes sold was up 20% and the average price was up 3%.
- Dublin: 369 homes sold with an average price of $313,201 in 2010. 290 homes sold in 2009 with an average price of $313,516. So for the first half of the year, the number of homes sold was up 27% and the average price was flat.
JULY Sales Comparison 2010 vs 2009
- Olentangy: 83 homes sold with an average price of $340,319 in 2010. 108 homes sold in 2009 with an average price of $313,211. The number of homes sold is down 23% but the average price is up 9%.
- Dublin: 61 homes sold with an average price of $363,381 in 2010. 87 homes sold in 2009 with an average price of $330,215. The number of homes sold is down 30% and the average price is up 10%.
What does AUGUST look like?
- Olentangy: As of today, 185 homes have closed or are in-contract. This compares favorably to the 104 homes sold last year in August.
- Dublin: As of today, 111 homes have closed or are in-contract. This also is favorable to last year when only 56 homes sold.
This shows the danger in putting so much emphasis on just one month’s worth of sales. My fear is that with all the publicity July’s numbers are receiving, that it will influence current buyers to decide to not buy. This would be a mistake because they have much to gain with the extremely low interest rates.
Of course, there may be markets nationwide that aren’t as positive as the news we have here, but at least for now, we’re doing OK.
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